North Korea has forgone nuclear tests, missile tests and rhetorical attacks for more than 400 days. That’s an important development. At the same time, however, it continues to produce nuclear fuel, weapons and missiles. It has not denuclearized, as Mr. Trump has demanded.
So, as President Trump and Kim Jong-un prepare for their second summit (reportedly next month in Vietnam), the pressure is on the Trump administration to articulate a realistic strategy for achieving a mutually agreed upon outcome.
After their first meeting, Mr. Trump declared that North Korea, which possesses 20 to 60 nuclear weapons, the missiles to deliver them and the facilities to make even more, was “no longer a nuclear threat.” Saying so didn’t make it so.
A new report this week about a previously secret North Korean
missile base at Sino-ri, 132 miles (212 kilometers) north of the
Demilitarized Zone, is a reminder of how sprawling and hidden the country’s
nuclear program is and how challenging any sort of outside inspections regime
might be to carry out.
Publicly, the two sides still hew to staunch positions:
The Trump administration insists that tough sanctions will stay in place until
North Korea completely gives up its nuclear arsenal. North Korean officials
insist on sanctions relief early in the process.
But small signs of movement led to plans for the second summit. Mr. Trump backed off his insistence on immediate disarmament, and his administration recently eased travel restrictions so American aid workers and humanitarian supplies could once again enter the impoverished country.
Mr. Kim’s annual New Year’s Day speech presented a somewhat more positive view of United States-North Korea relations, an encouraging sign.
One potentially significant change is that Mr. Trump and
his secretary of state, Mike Pompeo, last August appointed Stephen Biegun, a
retired business executive with years of experience as a Republican foreign
policy adviser, as the day-to-day negotiator. He is regarded by people in both
parties as having a nuanced and pragmatic view of negotiations and diplomacy.
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